Politics

Lawrence Haws wrote me the other day and pointed out that Bush recently said (original) it was “up in the air” whether we could ever be safe from another terrorist attack. He said this disproves my assertion that Bush pretends he can keep us safe. True enough! And Kerry responded to Bush’s comment by saying that he was going to win the war on terror, which is just as ridiculous when Kerry says it as it is when Bush says it. Terror is not an opponent, it’s a tactic. ...

This scenario is not going to happen, because if McCain was going to take a shot at Bush he’s had plenty of opportunities to do it already. But it’s a fun little piece of speculation about an obscure piece of election law, so if you want to find out how McCain could be elected President this year, go read it.

Without further ado, the non-partisan competitive Election Night drinking game. The players come to consensus on which network they’re using for results. If they can’t come to consensus, they have to use CNN (if the party is predominantly Republican) or Fox News (if the party is predominantly Democratic). Everyone predicts the winner and his percentage of the vote in 15 battleground states. If you get the winner wrong, drink! If you get the margin of victory wrong by more than 1%, drink! ...

The most terrifying sentence in this Washington Post article about Kerry’s cabinet choices is this: “John Sasso, who was recently put on the Kerry plane to restore order and discipline, is making a move for chief of staff, too, campaign sources say.” In case anyone was under any false impressions, John Sasso is not a nicer person than Karl Rove. He just happens to be on Kerry’s side. It’s a pretty pro-Kerry article, by the by. The first few paragraphs are particularly beneficial — the article starts out with a joke about Kerry having a tough time making decisions, but then defuses the negative implications by pointing out that Kerry may well make the tough bi-partisan decision to put a Republican in as Secretary of State. That speculation also helps shore up Kerry’s image as a uniter who can fix the problems Bush has created. ...

Air America has arrived in Boston (1200 AM and 1430 AM), so like the liberal sheep I am I’ve been listening to it for the last few days. Conclusions: it’s exactly the same as right-wing talk radio, except the bias leans differently. This is probably what the Democratic Party needs; it’s not really what I want, but c’est la vie. When I say exactly, by the by, I mean exactly — down to the ads, which are the same mix of adverts for herbal nostrums, local merchants, and political paraphernalia you get on right-wing talk radio. I suspect Air America will prove to be completely financially viable.

Quick follow-up on how independent voters reacted to Bush last night: Gallup says independent voters preferred Kerry (original) by a margin of 53% to 37%. Hear me now and believe me later! Bush is going to spend the next month firing up his base and relying on voter turnout to win this election. But Kerry still has a better get out the vote operation.

An interesting observation about the Duelfer Report: it lists a bunch of people from France, Germany, and Russia who profited illegally from the food-for-oil program. However, the Houston Chronicle notes that (original) “No U.S. companies or individuals were named, but that does not mean they were not involved. A CIA spokesperson cited U.S. privacy laws to explain why no U.S. companies or individuals were listed.” Well, shucks. I suppose that’s fair, as long as all we bloggers remember that the corruption wasn’t limited to Europe. ...

I’ve heard already twice, listening to the post-debate spin, that Republicans were relieved by Bush’s performance during this debate. That’s telling. It’s not the Republicans Bush needed to relieve; he needed to relieve the undecided voters. I think Bush did a great job of making his base happy, but he simply can’t win unless he can get the same moderate voters who liked compassionate conservatism four yeas ago.

For Matthew (original): Kerry 52%, Bush 48%, Nader 0%. Electoral College: 300 Kerry, 237 Bush.

If you’re curious about Going Upriver, the documentary about Kerry’s time in Vietnam and his protests afterwards, you can now download it for free. Figure at the least you’ll get more footage of his testimony to Congress than either party will show you in soundbites.