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2 Comments

  1. t. rev t. rev

    I have the impression that the media generally tend to overestimate the prospects of liberal candidates, even in ‘objective’ polls. It is not clear to me (assuming this is the case!) how much of this should be attributed observer bias, and how much to superior vote tampering on the part of conservatives.

  2. It appears to be the case that polls tend to underestimate conservative turnout by a few percent; Kevin Drum wrote about this a while ago, but I can’t be arsed to find the link. It was in relationship to Sharon over in Israel.

    This is a good reason why Bush might be taking this approach.

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